Research · October 2026

Trades openings are rising. Plant manager openings are easing.

The Barrie Hiring Outlook forecasts job openings for July 2026 to June 2027, by occupation. Statistics Canada reports Barrie together with Kitchener–Waterloo, so the figures cover that whole region.

By Jermaine Wellington, BHRM, Founder of Wells Talent & Co · Published · DOI 10.5281/zenodo.23850457

▲ 6.9%

trades & transport openings, next 12 months vs. the last 12

▼ 10.2%

manufacturing manager openings, one role within the manufacturing group

16,200

open positions a quarter across all jobs, flat vs. last year (+0.3%)

Demand by occupation group

Change in forecast openings over the next 12 months against the last 12.

Forecast change in job openings by occupation group
Occupation groupChange
Trades & transport▲ 6.9%
Natural & applied sciences▲ 2.2%
Sales & service▲ 2.1%
Manufacturing & utilities▼ 2.3%
Business, finance & admin▼ 4.1%
Education, law, social & government▼ 13.5%
Health▼ 20.5%

In bold: the groups where most manufacturing and engineering roles sit. Natural resources and arts, culture & sport are left out: too few openings for a stable forecast.

Roles to watch

Selected professional and management roles with enough published data to forecast, grouped for manufacturers.

Forecast openings for selected roles
RoleLast 4 qtrs, summedNext 4 qtrs, summedChangeLikely, Jul–Sep 2026
Manufacturing & engineering
Manufacturing & processing engineers202†212▲ 5.0%34–80
Manufacturing managers225202▼ 10.2%35–73
Civil & mechanical engineers530407▼ 23.2%56–149
Technology
Computer, software & web designers and developers1,0851,267▲ 16.8%211–459
Computer & information systems managers182†208▲ 14.3%33–80
Finance & administration
Auditors, accountants & investment professionals735†739≈ 0.5%117–272
Managers in financial & business services435431≈ −0.9%68–161
Administrative services managers420367▼ 12.6%47–148

Hiring one of these roles in the next 12 months?

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How this was made

Data: quarterly job vacancy counts from Statistics Canada’s Job Vacancy and Wage Survey, Table 14-10-0444-01, 2015 to April–June 2026, for the Kitchener–Waterloo–Barrie economic region. Statistics Canada does not publish Barrie on its own.

Forecast: four quarters ahead, using Google Research’s TimesFM 2.5 time-series model. A forecast, not a guarantee. Openings show demand, not how hard a role is to fill.

Summed: Statistics Canada counts vacancies each quarter. We added four quarters together, so a role open for two quarters counts twice. Compare the % change, not the totals. ▲ rising, ▼ falling, ≈ steady (under 2%).

Likely, Jul–Sep 2026: that quarter has ended, but Statistics Canada hasn’t published it yet. The model expects the figure to land in this range 8 times out of 10.

† Statistics Canada withheld at least one of the past year’s quarterly figures for reliability. We estimated it from neighbouring quarters, so treat that change as indicative.

Download the data

The full forecast behind this Outlook: 152 occupations plus the all-occupations total, four quarters each, with the 80% range and a flag wherever Statistics Canada withheld a figure. Free to reuse. A permanent copy is held on Zenodo, the open research archive run by CERN, under DOI 10.5281/zenodo.23850457, so it can be cited like a published paper.

Forecast data (CSV)Read me: columns and methodOccupations left out (CSV)Permanent copy on Zenodo

Licence: Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0). Share and adapt it for any purpose, including commercially, with credit: “Barrie Hiring Outlook forecast data, Wells Talent & Co, October 2026, CC BY 4.0, doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.23850457”, linked to this page or to the DOI.

Cite as: Wellington, J. (2026). Barrie Hiring Outlook: Forecast Data, October 2026 [Dataset]. Zenodo. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.23850457

Adapted from Statistics Canada, Job Vacancy and Wage Survey, Table 14-10-0444-01, reference period 2015 to second quarter 2026. This does not constitute an endorsement by Statistics Canada of this product. Statistics Canada data is used under the Statistics Canada Open Licence.